Polyglot 84.komrik valerya.New war for the Bosphorus: Erdogan bets on Russia...
15-04-2021 12:42
к комментариям - к полной версии
- понравилось!
Here we can recall the recent on the Caspian Sea, which, in particular, recorded a provision on the prevention of the presence of armed forces there of any countries, except those washed by it. Selisoto especially for MPS on the Caspian Sea, which, in particular, recorded a provision to prevent the presence of armed forces there of any countries except those they wash. Banning or radically increasing restrictions on passage through the Bosphorus would be an extreme humiliation for Americans and simply an unacceptable development. Selisoto especially for MPS
VIDEO: Here we can recall the recent agreement
вверх^
к полной версии
понравилось!
в evernote
Personal comments on my writings.
Personal University of Self-Development
06:47, 15 April 2021
New war for the Bosphorus: Erdogan bets on Russia...
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan reacted in the harshest terms to the open letter of more than a hundred retired Turkish admirals, who criticized the discussion about the possible revision of the Montreux convention in connection with the construction of the channel "Istanbul" which will link the Black and Marmara Seas.
But the fuss of opponents of the Istanbul project, including such heavy artillery as a hundred retired admirals, indicates that in the West Erdogan's geopolitical plans are taken more than seriously - and just as seriously feared by them.
The Turkish leader called such actions "unacceptable" for the country, which has had numerous military coups in its history. According to him, the intervention of the army, even in the person of former officers, in political topics is unacceptable and has nothing to do with freedom of speech.
Law enforcement agencies launched an investigation into the signatories of the appeal, ten admirals were detained.
As for the veiled accusation against the authorities that they are preparing to abandon the convention establishing free passage of ships (some restrictions are for warships) through the Turkish straits of the Bosphorus and Dardanelles, Erdogan was quite frank.
He stated that "we have no intention or plans to leave Montreux" and then added that "if such a question or necessity arises in the future, we will open the matter for the sake of better conditions, if we see fit".
The Neo-Ottoman ambitions of the Turkish President and his dream of a great-power revival of the state are no secret. However, before discussing the possible collapse of one of the most important documents of the world political system, it is worth turning to the facts - and specifically to the channel "Istanbul", which was at the center of the hype.
The project is not new. For the first time Erdogan, then prime minister, announced the construction of a "double" for the Bosphorus exactly ten years ago - in April 2011. The stated goal is to reduce the load on the strait, through which 53,000 vessels pass each year. It is expected that the new transport artery will be able to pass about 160 ships a day, including tankers with a capacity of up to 300,000 tons. In 2018, the route of the future canal was approved, and two weeks ago - approved the plan for its construction. An additional argument in favor of the project for the Turkish authorities was the recent incident in the Suez Canal,when the main shipping artery of the planet was blocked for several days by a single tanker.
Erdogan and other leaders of the country explicitly state that the new channel will be under the full sovereignty of Turkey and will not be subject to the Montreux Convention. Moreover, it is likely to be commercially operated.
On the one hand, this seems reasonable and in no way calls into question the status of the straits enshrined in the Convention. On the other hand, there are reasonable questions about the economic component of the project: what sense will the courts receive some bureaucratic approval and pay the Turks for the use of "Istanbul" when there is a free pass and free Bosphorus? And if so, then, of course, there are suspicions related to the political background of the case, especially since the Turkish leader does not hide his large-scale aspirations.
Where the words "Turkey" and "straits" are heard in the political context, Russia immediately begins to appear. The current history was no exception. The media circulation not even insiders and anonymous comments, but simply assumptions and sucked out of the finger fantasies about Moscow's allegedly growing anxiety in connection with the Turkish plans and possible overlap for Russia Bosphorus. And all this against the background of fundamental disregard for the facts, which transparently point to very different forces, which are concerned - and quite a bit - in connection with Turkish activity.
Inside Turkey, the project causes serious resistance. Sociologists claimthat about 80 percent of Istanbul residents oppose its implementation. The city's mayor, Ekrem Imamoglu, who is expected to become Erdogan's main opponent in the 2023 presidential election, has been harshly critical of the canal's construction. It is claimed that the land near the future canal is bought up by the president's close entourage, which will be enriched on the project. The loudest thing in the nabat beat environmentalists. They predict a catastrophe for both the Black Sea and the Sea of Marmara. According to them, Istanbul's water supply will be under threat. Also, according to opponents of the project, as a result of the construction of the canal, the city will actually turn into an island, which will increase the risk of earthquakes for it.
And now it is enough to remember for whom corruption and ecology are the favorite topics for torpedoing undesirable projects in other countries.
And the mass speech of retired admirals reminds that the influence of the United States in the Turkish army is extremely great - at least, it was before the harsh purge, arranged by Erdogan after the last attempt of a military coup, behind which the ears of Americans were clearly sticking out. In general, while there are attempts to ascribe to the Russian state anxiety over the construction of the "Istanbul" channel, in fact actively oppose it the United States.
The explanation of this seeming paradox is elementary. Russia has no particular cause for concern, because behind it centuries of struggle for the straits. The result was the clearest message to all interested parties that Moscow would not allow itself to be locked up in the Black Sea and, if necessary, would resort to any measures, absolutely anything, to prevent this. A well-known historical anecdote with the participation of the Soviet Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko tells about the same thing. He calmly replied to the threat of the Bosphorus being blocked by the Soviet ships that two volleys were enough for more straits to appear there, although it is not a fact that Istanbul will remain. For all his ambitions and even adventurism, Recep Tayyip Erdogan is well aware of these realities. Moreover, it is here that the plan that the Turkish leader puts on may be hidden.
Any alarmist predictions about Ankara's desire to withdraw from the Montreux convention are based on the question of how to solve this problem - and no one gives a plausible answer, except general words, that the channel "Istanbul" will give the Turkish authorities a reason to raise the issue. Yes, there will be an excuse. However, it is clear that Turkey has no chance of supporting the international community, especially given its increasingly complex relations with Europe and the United States. But the almost undisguised nervous reaction of the West betrays what kind of development events are afraid there.
Seven countries are located around the Black Sea, but only two are geopolitically important - Russia and Turkey. If they agree with each other by setting new rules for the use of straits, there will really be nothing left of the Montreux Convention. And okay, if it's going to be about civilian ships, but there's also the military.
VIDEO: Here we can recall the recent agreement
So far, all these arguments are deeply abstract. Moscow has relentlessly emphasized its unequivocal and unconditional commitment to the Montreux Convention. Turkey, on the other up, must first build a new channel, and then begin to implement its ambitious plans, whatever they may be.
But the fuss of opponents of the Istanbul project, including such heavy artillery as a hundred retired admirals, indicates that in the West Erdogan's geopolitical plans are taken more than seriously - and just as seriously feared by them.
Notice oshyubku
Highlight the text and click Ctrl'Enter
Discuss (0)
Вы сейчас не можете прокомментировать это сообщение.
Дневник Polyglot 84.komrik valerya.New war for the Bosphorus: Erdogan bets on Russia... | Forum_Polyglot_83 - Forum_Polyglot_84 |
Лента друзей Forum_Polyglot_83
/ Полная версия
Добавить в друзья
Страницы:
раньше»