Поджоги, свастика, свиная кровь. Как «антисемиты-индивидуалы» преследуют иудеевКанун православного Рождества: дети в селах центральной России кликают коляду и тащат домой пакеты гостинцами. В это время на севере, в Мурманске, неизвестный, риск...
Posted by Avraham Shmulevich on 15 янв 2018, 12:40
Who attacked the Russian base in Syria?
Avraham Shmulevich
The mysterious military operation of an unknown group which destroyed several Russian airplanes is now one of the hot topics of international politics. Analysts came forward with a dozen various options from seeing it as an Iranian provocation to crediting it to Turkey supported paramilitary groups.
Rabbi Avraham Shmulevich, however, offers the different explanation in his interview to the Israeli TV news channel in Russian. First of all, he recommends not to take seriously any Russian official sources, including the Ministry of Defence. As much as communists propaganda presented the world in a way that fits their worldview, in the USSR it was still possible to “read between the lines” knowing the rules and habits of misinformation machine. Nowadays, there no rules and calling Russian official reports fairy-tales would not be correct, because fairy-tales have at least some imaginary grounding in the real world.
Even in reporting about attack Russian official sources came forward with several contradictory stories: In one statement of the Military of Defence, the number of drones was 31, in another 13 (maybe spokesperson is dyslectic). Other separate official report gave the names of two officers killed by explosions on the base but following not less official report hastily renounced deaths as “fake news”.
The only reason Russians did report anything at all is that the accident was visible from satellites and it was impossible to deny it. However the way Russian information agencies report any accident depends on what they consider beneficial for them in this particular moment, which makes the analysts task of deciphering their messages way more difficult than just a cryptological exercise.
According to the information of Avraham Shmulevich who takes data from US, Israeli and Turkish sources, it is most likely that drones used during this operation are short distance models easily available on the market. One of the most simplistic models are golf drones hunting for the lost balls which are available on eBay for 30-40 dollars, but there are myriads of more sophisticated ones for various purposes. Such drones were actively used by the ISIS fighters for reconnaissance. Since it was easily available and inexpensive tool, almost every ISIS fighter had the drone to explore the situation several miles ahead.
The simple, inexpensive drones slightly remodeled for the military needs became popular in Syrian conflict and tons of them were captured by the Syrian army. The range of the most sophisticated drones available on the market is not exceeding 6-8 miles. Since the Russian base is situated deep inside the government controlled territory, this action could have been only the inside job - the fact which is very inconvenient to Russians. So their official source is coming forward with all kind of crazy models of drones to claim that they could have been launched from California.
Кто на самом деле атаковал российскую базу в СирииИран не имеет никакого отношения к атаке на российскую военную базу в Сирии. Дроны были запущены алавитской группировкой, отколовшейся от сторонников Асада, ...
Posted by Avraham Shmulevich on 10 янв 2018, 20:43
Студія Захід | Чому в Ірані кричали "смерть Росії" й війна в СиріїВ ефірі телеканалу Еспресо рабин Авраам Шмулевич - президент Інституту Східного партнерства (Ізраїль), про те, чому в Ірані кричали "смерть Росії" й війну в ...
Posted by Avraham Shmulevich on 8 янв 2018, 13:43
Iran is an Islamic Variant of the Soviet Union at Its End, Shmulyevich Says
Paul Goble
Staunton, January 7 – Iran today resembles the USSR in its final days, “an ideological regime in collapse;” but the Iranian protesters are more radically inclined against the ayatollahs than were Russians against the communists and also more willing than Russians to bear their share of responsibility for the regime they hope to overthrow, Avraam Shmulevich says.
In an article on the After Empire portal and in an interview with Radio Liberty, the head of Israel’s Eastern Partnership Institute argues that is the case even if the current upsurge in protests in Iran is put down for a time (afterempire.info/2018/01/04/night-revolution/ and svoboda.org/a/28956976.html).
Authoritarian regimes “do not fall by themselves,” and they do not fall when they first face public opposition, the commentator says. Instead, they collapse as wave after wave of opposition appears and as their opponents become more radical in their criticisms and in their demands.
That was true of the Russian Empire and of the Soviet Union, and it is very much true of Iran now, Shmulyevich says. “If in 2009, protesters [there] demanded honest elections; now, no one talks about elections and the chief slogan is death: ‘Death to Khomeini,’ ‘Death to the Islamic Revolution!’ and so on.”
Like their Russian and Soviet precursors, the Iranian people see that the regime ruling over them oppresses the ordinary people while allowing “the golden youth to what it wants.” They see corruption all around them, with the rulers enriching themselves while the people suffer ever more.
All this, he continues, is very similar to what was the case in the Soviet Union in the 1980s.
But there are some big differences, Shmulyevich says; and those deserve to be attended to because they show that the Iranians in the streets are more angry and more committed to real change than were the supporters of perestroika at the end of Soviet times.
“In Iran, there is a real demand for democracy. People who are now going into the streets of Iranian cities really want freedom and really want the establishment of a normal democratic society. In Russia, there [was and] is no such demand.” Instead, there is a demand for another but “good tsar” to rule over the people.
The Iranians protesting now are talking “precisely about the complete destruction of the existing system. One of the slogans [they are marching under holds] ‘we were wrong when we made the Islamic Revolution.’ Such repentance and recognition of their own errors and that it necessary to go in another way does not exist in Russia now and did not in the early 1990s.”
What is happening in Iran now is a genuinely popular rising. No outside forces can get hundreds of thousands of people to go into the streets, although the current Iranian regime like all authoritarian ones elsewhere “accuses external forces” in order to try to mobilize patriotic feelings on its behalf.
Another way Iran is both similar to and different from the late Soviet Union is that in Iran today there are “quite powerful ethnic conflicts” and the existence of “at a minimum three national liberation movements – the Kurds, the Beluchi, and the Arabs” – not to mention the Azerbaijanis.
And the Iranian demonstrators can expect to gain the backing of many in the outside world not only because of their commitments to democracy and freedom, Shmulyevich says, but also because “in Iran is the very lowest level of anti-Semitism among the populations in the Middle East.”
https://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.co.il/2018/01/iran-is-islamic-variant-of-soviet-union.html
Iran is an Islamic Variant of the Soviet Union at Its End, Shmulyevich SaysPaul Goble Staunton, January 7 – Iran today resembles the USSR in its final days, “an ideological regime in collapse;” bu...
Posted by Avraham Shmulevich on 8 янв 2018, 00:45
Исламский советский союз. Авраам Шмулевич в программе Радио Свобода "Итоги недели" - 05 Январь, 2018.
Аудоио-файл
https://player.fm/series/series-1297002/05-2018-eOhuzt9BtU5vtrog
Скачать аудиофайл https://grani-vremeni.podster.fm/3912/download/audio.mp3?media=rss
Исламский советский союзПочему протестующие в Иране кричат "Смерть России"?
Posted by Avraham Shmulevich on 7 янв 2018, 19:20
Кавказская неопределенностьНаходятся ли отношения между Грузией и Северным Кавказом на стадии подъема или упадка?
Posted by Avraham Shmulevich on 7 янв 2018, 18:39
Исламский советский союз. Авраам Шмулевич в программе Радио Свобода "Итоги недели" - 05 Январь, 2018.
Аудоио-файл
https://player.fm/series/series-1297002/05-2018-eOhuzt9BtU5vtrog
скачать https://grani-vremeni.podster.fm/3912/download/audio.mp3?media=rss
Авраам Шмулевич в программе "Итоги недели" - 05 Январь, 2018 - Грани времени (podcast)Listen to Авраам Шмулевич в программе "Итоги недели" - 05 Январь, 2018 and other Грани времени podcasts (1000 episodes) on Player FM. No signup or install.
Posted by Avraham Shmulevich on 7 янв 2018, 16:47
Исламский советский союзПочему протестующие в Иране кричат "Смерть России"?
Posted by Avraham Shmulevich on 6 янв 2018, 16:47